一旦军事紧张失控 台湾当局必定先怂

2019-04-16 14:18:36  环球时报英文版  

Taiwan can’t gamble on cross-Straits crisis

Taiwan authorities claimed that People's Liberation Army (PLA) fighter jets crossed the so-called "middle line" of the Taiwan Straits at Sunday noon. Will the Straits situation reach a new stage? Possibly, but not necessarily.

台湾军方称解放军战机星期天中午时分飞越了所谓“海峡中线”,台海局势会翻开新的一页吗?有可能,但也不一定。

First, the "middle line" is fictitious and psychological comfort to the Taiwan authorities. The Chinese mainland has never recognized it. Moreover, the two sides across the Straits probably have different definitions of the "middle line." Hence, even if PLA fighter jets did cross it, how the situation develops depends on Taiwan and US reactions.

首先,“海峡中线”是一条假想的心理线,大陆从未承认过它,而且双方对这条中线的理解和认识也未必一致。所以即使台方所通报的军情是真的,它也可大可小,全看美台双方下一步作何反应。

Washington has gone too far by sending warships to sail through the Straits thrice this year. Many people tended to think the PLA's move was a response to recent provocation

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 by Taiwan and the US. If they restrain themselves, the crossing of PLA fighter jets over the "middle line" will be nothing serious. However, if the two continue to make provocative moves, the cross-Straits situation is bound to become more uncertain.

美台勾结在加剧,美国军舰今年以来三过台湾海峡,这很过分。很多人都倾向于认为,军机强势过中线,这是大陆对美台近期挑衅的回应。如果美台从此收敛些,解放军战机偶过“海峡中线”就是件小事。但如果美台不思收敛,反将解放军的这一行动视为挑衅,且进一步示强,那么台海紧张势必加码升级,走向严重的不确定性。

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